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LLM-selected modes based on XGBoost and Monte Carlo inputs
| Slot | Player | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Marcus Mariota | NYG | 18.1 | 21.0 | MODERATE | HIGH |
| RB | Bucky Irving | ATL | 15.2 | 16.0 | MODERATE | HIGH |
| RB | Omarion Hampton | KC | 11.7 | 10.0 | MODERATE | LOW |
| WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | IND | 20.6 | 25.0 | BOOM | HIGH |
| WR | Jameson Williams | LAR | 13.9 | 17.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| TE | Juwan Johnson | CAR | 9.7 | 11.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| K | Jason Myers | IND | 8.5 | 10.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| D/ST | Bears D/ST | CLE | 6.6 | 10.0 | MODERATE | HIGH |
| WR | Rashee Rice | LAC | 17.2 | 16.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
Jordan Love (Elite ceiling (35 pts)), Jacoby Brissett (Elite ceiling (30 pts)), Devin Singletary (Elite ceiling (26 pts)), Tyjae Spears (Elite ceiling (28 pts)), Tetairoa McMillan (Elite ceiling (35 pts)), Luther Burden III (Elite ceiling (28 pts)), Hunter Henry (Elite ceiling (31 pts)), Rams D/ST (Elite ceiling (25 pts))
Hold proven performers, ceiling matters more than this week's matchup
See ML Analysis tab for MC histograms. See Waivers tab for full analysis.
Week 15 presents a favorable matchup against Auto DraftKings (4-10). With projected 136 points vs opponent's ~113 points, we enter as clear favorites. KEY MOVES: Start Marcus Mariota (QB13 ECR vs NYG's 31st-ranked pass defense), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR1 ECR in elite matchup vs IND), and Bears D/ST (top-5 defense vs struggling Cleveland). WEATHER ALERT: Jordan Love (QB) faces extreme cold in Green Bay (9°F, -35 wind chill) - benched in favor of Mariota. Hunter Henry benched due to Buffalo's elite TE coverage (rank 2, allow only 3.6 fppg). LOCKED: Bucky Irving (8.1 pts actual from TNF). FLEX: Rashee Rice over Tetairoa McMillan (16.0 vs 13.0).
| Player | Pos | Slot | Actual | ESPN | LLM | vs LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Mariota | QB | QB | ✓ 14.7 | 18.2 | 21.0 | -6.3 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | RB | ✓ 8.1 | 15.2 | 16.0 | -7.9 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | RB | ✓ 7.5 | 11.7 | 10.0 | -2.5 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | WR | ✓ 18.3 | 20.6 | 25.0 | -6.7 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | WR | ✓ 12.1 | 17.2 | 16.0 | -3.9 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | TE | ✓ 7.0 | 9.7 | 11.0 | -4.0 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | RB/WR/TE | ✓ 26.4 | 13.9 | 17.0 | +9.4 |
| Jason Myers | K | K | ✓ 24.0 | 8.5 | 10.0 | +14.0 |
| Bears D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | ✓ 18.0 | 6.7 | 10.0 | +8.0 |
| Devin Singletary (bench) | RB | BE | ✓ 2.4 | 10.8 | 10.0 | -7.6 |
| Hunter Henry (bench) | TE | BE | ✓ 2.8 | 10.3 | 6.0 | -3.2 |
| Jacoby Brissett (bench) | QB | BE | ✓ 20.6 | 13.9 | 13.0 | +7.6 |
| Jordan Love (bench) | QB | BE | ✓ 13.9 | 14.8 | 14.0 | -0.1 |
| Tetairoa McMillan (bench) | WR | BE | ✓ 4.5 | 13.2 | 13.0 | -8.5 |
| Tyjae Spears (bench) | RB | BE | ✓ 5.6 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -1.4 |
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams D/ST (bench) | D/ST | BE | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. (bench) | WR | IR | 0.0 | --- |
| Player | Pos | Slot | Actual | ESPN | LLM | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | QB | QB | ✓ 19.0 | 15.9 | --- | +3.0 |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | RB | ✓ 13.1 | 17.6 | --- | -4.5 |
| A.J. Brown | WR | WR | ✓ 12.1 | 16.8 | --- | -4.7 |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | WR | ✓ 4.2 | 15.7 | --- | -11.5 |
| Dalton Schultz | TE | TE | ✓ 21.6 | 8.9 | --- | +12.7 |
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | RB/WR/TE | ✓ 10.4 | 12.0 | --- | -1.6 |
| Jake Elliott | K | K | ✓ 7.0 | 8.0 | --- | -1.0 |
| Saints D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | ✓ 6.0 | 5.9 | --- | +0.1 |
| C.J. Stroud (bench) | QB | BE | ✓ 23.4 | 17.3 | --- | +6.1 |
| Courtland Sutton (bench) | WR | BE | ✓ 24.3 | 13.1 | --- | +11.2 |
| Jakobi Meyers (bench) | WR | BE | ✓ 12.1 | 11.7 | --- | +0.4 |
| Khalil Shakir (bench) | WR | BE | ✓ 11.5 | 10.5 | --- | +1.0 |
| Sean Tucker (bench) | RB | BE | ✓ 6.7 | 2.9 | --- | +3.8 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (bench) | WR | BE | ✓ 16.4 | 14.7 | --- | +1.7 |
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB | RB | 12.6 | --- |
| David Njoku (bench) | TE | BE | 0.0 | --- |
Projections: ESPN 14.8 | LLM 14.0 (BUST)
Reasoning: MC: 49% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 27% boom, 22% bust (this week - balanced). DEN defense rank 5 vs QB (tough). EXTREME COLD: 9°F, -25 to -35 wind chill. Josh Jacobs questionable limits game script flexibility. Cold weather historically suppresses passing, affects ball grip. Mode: BUST. Projection: 14.0 pts (within 2-14 range, high end of bust).
Context: O/U: 42.5ˢ | Def Rank: 5ˢ | ECR: 17ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 28% | MODERATE: 49% | BOOM: 23%
XGB (This Week): Boom 27% | Bust 22% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CHI | 17.6 | 18.0 | 19.3 | +1.6 |
| 13 | DET | 15.7 | 18.2 | 25.8 | +10.0 |
| 12 | MIN | 17.4 | - | 7.1 | -10.4 |
| 11 | NYG | 16.3 | - | 17.7 | +1.3 |
| 10 | PHI | 17.0 | - | 7.8 | -9.1 |
| 9 | CAR | 18.1 | - | 9.0 | -9.1 |
| 8 | PIT | 17.1 | - | 28.3 | +11.2 |
| 7 | ARI | 17.4 | - | 13.4 | -4.0 |
| 6 | CIN | 19.3 | - | 15.0 | -4.4 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | DAL | 18.6 | - | 26.3 | +7.7 |
| 3 | CLE | 16.0 | - | 11.1 | -4.9 |
| 2 | WSH | 17.6 | - | 20.9 | +3.3 |
| 1 | DET | 14.9 | - | 15.9 | +1.0 |
Projections: ESPN 13.9 | LLM 13.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 73% BOOM (historical - high ceiling). XGB: 13% boom, 39% bust (this week - bearish). HOU defense rank 2 vs QB (elite - allow only 12.5 fppg). QB21 ECR. Game total 42.5. Week 17 stash value but tough Week 15 matchup. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 13.0 pts (within 7-22 range).
Context: O/U: 42.5ˢ | Def Rank: 2ˢ | ECR: 21ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 2% | BOOM: 73%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 39% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | LAR | 15.3 | 19.0 | 19.0 | +3.7 |
| 13 | TB | 17.2 | 20.5 | 19.6 | +2.4 |
| 12 | JAX | 16.7 | - | 18.7 | +1.9 |
| 11 | SF | 17.9 | - | 21.9 | +3.9 |
| 10 | SEA | 15.3 | - | 19.4 | +4.2 |
| 9 | DAL | 19.4 | - | 24.8 | +5.4 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | GB | 16.6 | - | 19.8 | +3.2 |
| 6 | IND | 13.4 | - | 20.7 | +7.3 |
| 5 | TEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | SF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | CAR | 0.0 | - | 0.2 | +0.2 |
| 1 | NO | 0.1 | - | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Projections: ESPN 18.1 | LLM 21.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 43% MODERATE, 42% BOOM (historical - elite boom potential). XGB: 18% boom, 51% bust (this week - bearish). NYG defense rank 31 vs QB (worst in league, allow 23.6 fppg). Game total 46.5. Cold weather (27°F, 13 mph) minor concern. Despite XGB caution, matchup is elite smash spot. Mode: MODERATE (high end). Projection: 21.0 pts (within 7-22 range).
Context: O/U: 46.5ˢ | Def Rank: 31ˢ | ECR: 13ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 15% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 42%
XGB (This Week): Boom 18% | Bust 51% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | - | -2.1 | -2.1 |
| 13 | BYE | 14.8 | - | 23.3 | +8.4 |
| 12 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | BYE | 18.2 | - | 15.4 | -2.8 |
| 10 | BYE | 16.3 | - | 18.7 | +2.4 |
| 9 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | BYE | 16.9 | - | 11.3 | -5.6 |
| 7 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 3.9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | ATL | 0.0 | - | 16.2 | +16.2 |
| 3 | BYE | 17.0 | - | 20.3 | +3.2 |
| 2 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1 | BYE | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | -0.2 |
Projections: ESPN 15.2 | LLM 16.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 65% MODERATE (historical - strong floor). XGB: 11% boom, 48% bust (this week - conservative). ATL defense rank 20 vs RB (middle). RB9 ECR by experts. TB -4.5 favorite = positive game script. Game total 44.5. Sean Tucker inactive boosts workload. Mode: MODERATE (high end). Projection: 16.0 pts (within 8-20 range).
Context: O/U: 44.5ˢ | Def Rank: 20ˢ | ECR: 9ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 17% | MODERATE: 65% | BOOM: 19%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 48% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | NO | 16.4 | 16.0 | 16.1 | -0.3 |
| 13 | ARI | 11.8 | 12.0 | 16.1 | +4.3 |
| 12 | LAR | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | BUF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | NE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | NO | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | DET | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 6 | SF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | SEA | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | PHI | 17.5 | - | 25.5 | +8.0 |
| 3 | NYJ | 17.9 | - | 13.9 | -4.0 |
| 2 | HOU | 15.9 | - | 18.1 | +2.2 |
| 1 | ATL | 17.3 | - | 14.5 | -2.8 |
Projections: ESPN 10.1 | LLM 7.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 67% MODERATE (historical - consistent). XGB: 13% boom, 43% bust (this week - bearish). SF defense rank 12 vs RB (tough). RB42 ECR (very low). TEN heavy underdog = abandon run game script. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 7.0 pts (within 3-15 range).
Context: O/U: 44.5ˢ | Def Rank: 12ˢ | ECR: 42ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 18% | MODERATE: 67% | BOOM: 15%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 43% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CLE | 8.6 | 8.0 | 6.7 | -1.9 |
| 13 | JAX | 9.9 | 8.0 | 8.4 | -1.5 |
| 12 | SEA | 9.6 | - | 6.5 | -3.1 |
| 11 | HOU | 9.0 | - | 8.4 | -0.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | LAC | 9.5 | - | 9.2 | -0.3 |
| 8 | IND | 9.5 | - | 17.2 | +7.7 |
| 7 | NE | 7.8 | - | 7.0 | -0.8 |
| 6 | LV | 5.6 | - | 9.0 | +3.4 |
| 5 | ARI | 5.4 | - | 1.4 | -4.0 |
| 4 | HOU | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | IND | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | LAR | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1 | DEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 11.7 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 47% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 10% boom, 51% bust (this week - bearish). LAC defense rank 15 vs RB (neutral). RB28 ECR (low). 'Hot hand' approach per Chargers OC = uncertain usage. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 10.0 pts (within 6-18 range).
Context: O/U: 42.5ˢ | Def Rank: 15ˢ | ECR: 28ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 26% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 27%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 51% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | PHI | 12.1 | 8.0 | 14.7 | +2.6 |
| 13 | LV | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 12 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | JAX | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | PIT | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | TEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | MIN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | IND | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 6 | MIA | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | WSH | 18.6 | - | 13.0 | -5.6 |
| 4 | NYG | 16.7 | - | 27.5 | +10.8 |
| 3 | DEN | 12.2 | - | 24.9 | +12.7 |
| 2 | LV | 15.7 | - | 3.5 | -12.2 |
| 1 | KC | 14.7 | - | 8.1 | -6.6 |
Projections: ESPN 10.8 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 58% BUST (historical - low floor). XGB: 14% boom, 54% bust (this week - bearish). WSH defense rank 28 vs RB (favorable - allow 19.5 fppg). RB34 ECR. Game total 46.5 (high). Good matchup but limited ceiling. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 10.0 pts (within 4-16 range).
Context: O/U: 46.5ˢ | Def Rank: 28ˢ | ECR: 34ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 58% | MODERATE: 22% | BOOM: 20%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 54% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | NE | 6.3 | - | 19.2 | +12.9 |
| 12 | DET | 9.9 | - | 4.7 | -5.2 |
| 11 | GB | 9.6 | - | 17.7 | +8.1 |
| 10 | CHI | 9.7 | - | 10.3 | +0.6 |
| 9 | SF | 5.5 | - | 7.1 | +1.6 |
| 8 | PHI | 1.2 | - | 3.8 | +2.6 |
| 7 | DEN | 0.8 | - | 0.2 | -0.6 |
| 6 | PHI | 1.0 | - | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | NO | 6.0 | - | 3.4 | -2.6 |
| 4 | LAC | 7.4 | - | 2.8 | -4.6 |
| 3 | KC | 1.1 | - | 1.1 | +0.0 |
| 2 | DAL | 3.2 | - | 1.0 | -2.2 |
| 1 | WSH | 3.5 | - | 0.9 | -2.6 |
Projections: ESPN 20.6 | LLM 25.0 (BOOM)
Reasoning: MC: 29% BOOM (historical). XGB: 11% boom, 23% bust (this week - conservative). IND defense rank 26 vs WR (favorable). WR1 ECR by experts. SEA -13.5 favorite = positive game script. Game total 42.5. Despite XGB's cautious signal, elite expert consensus + matchup + game script strongly favor BOOM. Mode: BOOM. Projection: 25.0 pts (within 21-36 range).
Context: O/U: 42.5ˢ | Def Rank: 26ˢ | ECR: 1ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 30% | MODERATE: 41% | BOOM: 29%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 23% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | ATL | 20.9 | 22.0 | 28.1 | +7.2 |
| 13 | MIN | 21.9 | 24.0 | 4.3 | -17.6 |
| 12 | TEN | 21.3 | - | 37.1 | +15.8 |
| 11 | LAR | 23.0 | - | 20.6 | -2.4 |
| 10 | ARI | 22.0 | - | 20.3 | -1.7 |
| 9 | WSH | 24.5 | - | 22.0 | -2.5 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | HOU | 20.0 | - | 26.3 | +6.3 |
| 6 | JAX | 17.9 | - | 30.2 | +12.3 |
| 5 | TB | 15.9 | - | 27.2 | +11.3 |
| 4 | ARI | 16.4 | - | 13.0 | -3.4 |
| 3 | NO | 15.5 | - | 20.6 | +5.1 |
| 2 | PIT | 14.4 | - | 18.3 | +3.9 |
| 1 | SF | 14.7 | - | 19.4 | +4.7 |
Projections: ESPN 13.2 | LLM 13.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 50% BUST, 34% MODERATE (historical - volatile). XGB: 21% boom, 22% bust (this week - balanced). NO defense rank 18 vs WR (neutral). WR13 ECR. Game total 40.5 (low). MHJ out = more targets. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 13.0 pts (within 8-20 range).
Context: O/U: 40.5ˢ | Def Rank: 18ˢ | ECR: 13ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 34% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 21% | Bust 22% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | LAR | 13.2 | 13.0 | 11.3 | -1.9 |
| 12 | SF | 16.3 | - | 11.5 | -4.8 |
| 11 | ATL | 13.5 | - | 33.0 | +19.5 |
| 10 | NO | 12.2 | - | 11.0 | -1.2 |
| 9 | GB | 12.9 | - | 8.6 | -4.3 |
| 8 | BUF | 13.4 | - | 16.9 | +3.5 |
| 7 | NYJ | 12.5 | - | 6.3 | -6.2 |
| 6 | DAL | 14.6 | - | 17.9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | MIA | 14.2 | - | 13.3 | -0.9 |
| 4 | NE | 14.2 | - | 10.2 | -4.0 |
| 3 | ATL | 13.2 | - | 7.8 | -5.4 |
| 2 | ARI | 13.5 | - | 16.0 | +2.5 |
| 1 | JAX | 13.9 | - | 11.8 | -2.1 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: RULED OUT Week 15 with heel injury per Reddit (347 upvotes) and HC Gannon press conference. 'Marvin Harrison Jr. (heel) ruled out for Week 15.' Expected to return this season but not this week. is_confirmed_out=True with source. Projection: 0.0 pts.
Context: O/U: 42.5ˢ | Def Rank: 6ˢ
MC (Historical): OUT: 100%
XGB (This Week): Boom 42% | Bust 19% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | LAR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | TB | 13.7 | 14.0 | 12.9 | -0.8 |
| 12 | JAX | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | SF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | SEA | 13.3 | - | 14.3 | +1.0 |
| 9 | DAL | 13.3 | - | 22.6 | +9.3 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | GB | 12.5 | - | 7.8 | -4.7 |
| 6 | IND | 11.9 | - | 5.2 | -6.7 |
| 5 | TEN | 12.8 | - | 13.8 | +1.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 11.3 | - | 18.6 | +7.3 |
| 3 | SF | 12.7 | - | 7.4 | -5.3 |
| 2 | CAR | 14.0 | - | 4.7 | -9.3 |
| 1 | NO | 13.9 | - | 18.1 | +4.2 |
Projections: ESPN 17.2 | LLM 16.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 43% BOOM (historical - high ceiling player). XGB: 25% boom, 32% bust (this week - mixed). LAC defense rank 2 vs WR (very tough - allow only 13.5 fppg). WR5 ECR by experts (talent). Game total 42.5. Matchup is concerning but talent/volume override. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 16.0 pts (within 10-22 range).
Context: O/U: 42.5ˢ | Def Rank: 2ˢ | ECR: 5ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 26% | BOOM: 43%
XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 32% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | HOU | 17.1 | 17.0 | 7.4 | -9.7 |
| 13 | DAL | 18.1 | 18.4 | 29.4 | +11.3 |
| 12 | IND | 17.6 | - | 24.1 | +6.5 |
| 11 | DEN | 16.4 | - | 9.8 | -6.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | BUF | 18.4 | - | 18.6 | +0.2 |
| 8 | WSH | 17.2 | - | 25.5 | +8.2 |
| 7 | LV | 13.7 | - | 23.2 | +9.5 |
| 6 | DET | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | JAX | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | BAL | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | NYG | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | PHI | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1 | LAC | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 13.9 | LLM 17.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 47% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 12% boom, 47% bust (this week - concerning). LAR defense rank 19 vs WR (neutral). WR15 ECR. HIGHEST GAME TOTAL: 53.5 (DET vs LAR shootout). Shootout environment elevates all pass catchers. Mode: MODERATE (high end). Projection: 17.0 pts (within 10-22 range).
Context: O/U: 53.5ˢ | Def Rank: 19ˢ | ECR: 15ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 30% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 24%
XGB (This Week): Boom 12% | Bust 47% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | DAL | 13.8 | 17.3 | 17.3 | +3.5 |
| 13 | GB | 11.8 | 15.1 | 26.9 | +15.1 |
| 12 | NYG | 12.9 | - | 0.0 | -12.9 |
| 11 | PHI | 12.6 | - | 19.7 | +7.1 |
| 10 | WSH | 12.1 | - | 23.9 | +11.8 |
| 9 | MIN | 11.0 | - | 16.6 | +5.6 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | TB | 13.2 | - | 0.0 | -13.2 |
| 6 | KC | 10.7 | - | 18.6 | +7.9 |
| 5 | CIN | 11.8 | - | 2.0 | -9.8 |
| 4 | CLE | 10.7 | - | 5.7 | -5.0 |
| 3 | BAL | 12.9 | - | 6.3 | -6.6 |
| 2 | CHI | 13.0 | - | 18.8 | +5.8 |
| 1 | GB | 12.9 | - | 6.6 | -6.3 |
Projections: ESPN 8.1 | LLM 8.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 57% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 14% boom, 44% bust. Rookie WR in CHI offense. CLE defense rank 8 vs WR. Limited upside. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 8.0 pts.
Context: O/U: 38.5ˢ | ECR: 35ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 57% | BOOM: 12%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 44% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | GB | 10.3 | 8.0 | 11.0 | +0.7 |
| 13 | PHI | 8.3 | - | 7.6 | -0.7 |
| 12 | PIT | 7.6 | - | 9.1 | +1.5 |
| 11 | MIN | 6.2 | - | 5.7 | -0.5 |
| 10 | NYG | 3.4 | - | 8.1 | +4.7 |
| 9 | CIN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | BAL | 4.8 | - | 0.9 | -3.9 |
| 7 | NO | 4.9 | - | 3.1 | -1.8 |
| 6 | WSH | 4.8 | - | 9.1 | +4.3 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | LV | 5.8 | - | 1.6 | -4.2 |
| 3 | DAL | 2.7 | - | 19.8 | +17.1 |
| 2 | DET | 2.7 | - | 1.5 | -1.2 |
| 1 | MIN | 3.2 | - | 0.7 | -2.5 |
Projections: ESPN 9.7 | LLM 11.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 47% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 16% boom, 43% bust (this week - conservative). CAR defense rank 24 vs TE (favorable). KAMARA OUT - more red zone looks. Game total 40.5 (low). Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 11.0 pts (within 4-15 range).
Context: O/U: 40.5ˢ | Def Rank: 24ˢ | ECR: 16ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 26% | MODERATE: 42% | BOOM: 32%
XGB (This Week): Boom 15% | Bust 60% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | TB | 9.7 | 10.0 | 7.8 | -1.9 |
| 13 | MIA | 8.7 | 11.0 | 8.9 | +0.2 |
| 12 | ATL | 9.3 | - | 10.6 | +1.3 |
| 11 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | CAR | 8.9 | - | 19.2 | +10.2 |
| 9 | LAR | 8.3 | - | 12.1 | +3.8 |
| 8 | TB | 9.6 | - | 10.3 | +0.7 |
| 7 | CHI | 7.5 | - | 12.9 | +5.4 |
| 6 | NE | 7.9 | - | 1.5 | -6.4 |
| 5 | NYG | 7.9 | - | 3.7 | -4.2 |
| 4 | BUF | 11.1 | - | 5.8 | -5.3 |
| 3 | SEA | 10.6 | - | 11.1 | +0.5 |
| 2 | SF | 9.1 | - | 15.9 | +6.8 |
| 1 | ARI | 7.3 | - | 15.6 | +8.3 |
Projections: ESPN 10.3 | LLM 6.0 (BUST)
Reasoning: MC: 56% BUST (historical - limited ceiling). XGB: 32% boom, 24% bust (this week - more optimistic). BUF defense rank 2 vs TE (elite - allow only 3.6 fppg). TE13 ECR. Game total 49.5 (high) but TE usage capped by elite BUF coverage. Mode: BUST. Projection: 6.0 pts (within 1-10 range).
Context: O/U: 49.5ˢ | Def Rank: 2ˢ | ECR: 13ˢ
MC (Historical): BUST: 42% | MODERATE: 46% | BOOM: 13%
XGB (This Week): Boom 8% | Bust 61% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | NYG | 11.2 | - | 11.3 | +0.1 |
| 12 | CIN | 11.4 | - | 24.5 | +13.1 |
| 11 | NYJ | 10.0 | - | 8.5 | -1.5 |
| 10 | TB | 10.7 | - | 1.9 | -8.8 |
| 9 | ATL | 9.1 | - | 9.1 | -0.0 |
| 8 | CLE | 9.4 | - | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 7 | TEN | 9.3 | - | 7.3 | -2.0 |
| 6 | NO | 10.3 | - | 5.7 | -4.6 |
| 5 | BUF | 11.1 | - | 6.6 | -4.5 |
| 4 | CAR | 11.2 | - | 11.9 | +0.7 |
| 3 | PIT | 9.1 | - | 29.0 | +19.9 |
| 2 | MIA | 9.7 | - | 1.9 | -7.8 |
| 1 | LV | 8.8 | - | 10.6 | +1.8 |
Projections: ESPN 14.8 | LLM 14.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 28% | MODERATE: 49% | BOOM: 23%
XGB (This Week): Boom 27% | Bust 22%
Notes: MC: 49% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 27% boom, 22% bust (this week - balanced). DEN defense rank 5 vs QB (tough). EXTREME COLD: 9°F, -25 to -35 wind chill. Josh Jacobs questionable limits game script flexibility. Cold weather historically suppresses passing, affects ball grip. Mode: BUST. Projection: 14.0 pts (within 2-14 range, high end of bust).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CHI | 17.6 | 18.0 | 19.3 | +1.6 |
| 13 | DET | 15.7 | 18.2 | 25.8 | +10.0 |
| 12 | MIN | 17.4 | - | 7.1 | -10.4 |
| 11 | NYG | 16.3 | - | 17.7 | +1.3 |
| 10 | PHI | 17.0 | - | 7.8 | -9.1 |
| 9 | CAR | 18.1 | - | 9.0 | -9.1 |
| 8 | PIT | 17.1 | - | 28.3 | +11.2 |
| 7 | ARI | 17.4 | - | 13.4 | -4.0 |
| 6 | CIN | 19.3 | - | 15.0 | -4.4 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | DAL | 18.6 | - | 26.3 | +7.7 |
| 3 | CLE | 16.0 | - | 11.1 | -4.9 |
| 2 | WSH | 17.6 | - | 20.9 | +3.3 |
| 1 | DET | 14.9 | - | 15.9 | +1.0 |
Projections: ESPN 13.2 | LLM 13.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 34% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 21% | Bust 22%
Notes: MC: 50% BUST, 34% MODERATE (historical - volatile). XGB: 21% boom, 22% bust (this week - balanced). NO defense rank 18 vs WR (neutral). WR13 ECR. Game total 40.5 (low). MHJ out = more targets. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 13.0 pts (within 8-20 range).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | LAR | 13.2 | 13.0 | 11.3 | -1.9 |
| 12 | SF | 16.3 | - | 11.5 | -4.8 |
| 11 | ATL | 13.5 | - | 33.0 | +19.5 |
| 10 | NO | 12.2 | - | 11.0 | -1.2 |
| 9 | GB | 12.9 | - | 8.6 | -4.3 |
| 8 | BUF | 13.4 | - | 16.9 | +3.5 |
| 7 | NYJ | 12.5 | - | 6.3 | -6.2 |
| 6 | DAL | 14.6 | - | 17.9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | MIA | 14.2 | - | 13.3 | -0.9 |
| 4 | NE | 14.2 | - | 10.2 | -4.0 |
| 3 | ATL | 13.2 | - | 7.8 | -5.4 |
| 2 | ARI | 13.5 | - | 16.0 | +2.5 |
| 1 | JAX | 13.9 | - | 11.8 | -2.1 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): OUT: 100%
XGB (This Week): Boom 42% | Bust 19%
Notes: RULED OUT Week 15 with heel injury per Reddit (347 upvotes) and HC Gannon press conference. 'Marvin Harrison Jr. (heel) ruled out for Week 15.' Expected to return this season but not this week. is_confirmed_out=True with source. Projection: 0.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | LAR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | TB | 13.7 | 14.0 | 12.9 | -0.8 |
| 12 | JAX | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | SF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | SEA | 13.3 | - | 14.3 | +1.0 |
| 9 | DAL | 13.3 | - | 22.6 | +9.3 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | GB | 12.5 | - | 7.8 | -4.7 |
| 6 | IND | 11.9 | - | 5.2 | -6.7 |
| 5 | TEN | 12.8 | - | 13.8 | +1.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 11.3 | - | 18.6 | +7.3 |
| 3 | SF | 12.7 | - | 7.4 | -5.3 |
| 2 | CAR | 14.0 | - | 4.7 | -9.3 |
| 1 | NO | 13.9 | - | 18.1 | +4.2 |
Projections: ESPN 10.1 | LLM 7.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 18% | MODERATE: 67% | BOOM: 15%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 43%
Notes: MC: 67% MODERATE (historical - consistent). XGB: 13% boom, 43% bust (this week - bearish). SF defense rank 12 vs RB (tough). RB42 ECR (very low). TEN heavy underdog = abandon run game script. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 7.0 pts (within 3-15 range).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CLE | 8.6 | 8.0 | 6.7 | -1.9 |
| 13 | JAX | 9.9 | 8.0 | 8.4 | -1.5 |
| 12 | SEA | 9.6 | - | 6.5 | -3.1 |
| 11 | HOU | 9.0 | - | 8.4 | -0.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | LAC | 9.5 | - | 9.2 | -0.3 |
| 8 | IND | 9.5 | - | 17.2 | +7.7 |
| 7 | NE | 7.8 | - | 7.0 | -0.8 |
| 6 | LV | 5.6 | - | 9.0 | +3.4 |
| 5 | ARI | 5.4 | - | 1.4 | -4.0 |
| 4 | HOU | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | IND | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | LAR | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1 | DEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 13.9 | LLM 13.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 2% | BOOM: 73%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 39%
Notes: MC: 73% BOOM (historical - high ceiling). XGB: 13% boom, 39% bust (this week - bearish). HOU defense rank 2 vs QB (elite - allow only 12.5 fppg). QB21 ECR. Game total 42.5. Week 17 stash value but tough Week 15 matchup. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 13.0 pts (within 7-22 range).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | LAR | 15.3 | 19.0 | 19.0 | +3.7 |
| 13 | TB | 17.2 | 20.5 | 19.6 | +2.4 |
| 12 | JAX | 16.7 | - | 18.7 | +1.9 |
| 11 | SF | 17.9 | - | 21.9 | +3.9 |
| 10 | SEA | 15.3 | - | 19.4 | +4.2 |
| 9 | DAL | 19.4 | - | 24.8 | +5.4 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | GB | 16.6 | - | 19.8 | +3.2 |
| 6 | IND | 13.4 | - | 20.7 | +7.3 |
| 5 | TEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | SF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | CAR | 0.0 | - | 0.2 | +0.2 |
| 1 | NO | 0.1 | - | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Projections: ESPN 4.2 | LLM 5.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 40% | MODERATE: 38% | BOOM: 22%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 59%
Notes: MC: 39% BUST, 37% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 17% boom, 49% bust (this week - bearish). DET high-powered offense. Game total 53.5 (highest of week). DST18 ECR. Mode: BUST. Projection: 5.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | ARI | 6.9 | 9.0 | 6.0 | -0.9 |
| 13 | CAR | 7.5 | 10.0 | 1.0 | -6.5 |
| 12 | TB | 5.7 | - | 20.0 | +14.3 |
| 11 | SEA | 5.4 | - | 5.0 | -0.4 |
| 10 | SF | 6.4 | - | 5.0 | -1.4 |
| 9 | NO | 8.2 | - | 10.0 | +1.8 |
| 7 | JAX | 6.7 | - | 9.0 | +2.3 |
| 6 | BAL | 6.2 | - | 16.0 | +9.8 |
| 5 | SF | 7.0 | - | -2.0 | -9.0 |
| 4 | IND | 5.7 | - | 6.0 | +0.3 |
| 3 | PHI | 5.2 | - | 7.0 | +1.8 |
| 2 | TEN | 7.4 | - | 9.0 | +1.6 |
| 1 | HOU | 5.6 | - | 12.0 | +6.4 |
Projections: ESPN 10.3 | LLM 6.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 42% | MODERATE: 46% | BOOM: 13%
XGB (This Week): Boom 8% | Bust 61%
Notes: MC: 56% BUST (historical - limited ceiling). XGB: 32% boom, 24% bust (this week - more optimistic). BUF defense rank 2 vs TE (elite - allow only 3.6 fppg). TE13 ECR. Game total 49.5 (high) but TE usage capped by elite BUF coverage. Mode: BUST. Projection: 6.0 pts (within 1-10 range).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | NYG | 11.2 | - | 11.3 | +0.1 |
| 12 | CIN | 11.4 | - | 24.5 | +13.1 |
| 11 | NYJ | 10.0 | - | 8.5 | -1.5 |
| 10 | TB | 10.7 | - | 1.9 | -8.8 |
| 9 | ATL | 9.1 | - | 9.1 | -0.0 |
| 8 | CLE | 9.4 | - | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 7 | TEN | 9.3 | - | 7.3 | -2.0 |
| 6 | NO | 10.3 | - | 5.7 | -4.6 |
| 5 | BUF | 11.1 | - | 6.6 | -4.5 |
| 4 | CAR | 11.2 | - | 11.9 | +0.7 |
| 3 | PIT | 9.1 | - | 29.0 | +19.9 |
| 2 | MIA | 9.7 | - | 1.9 | -7.8 |
| 1 | LV | 8.8 | - | 10.6 | +1.8 |
Projections: ESPN 10.8 | LLM 10.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 58% | MODERATE: 22% | BOOM: 20%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 54%
Notes: MC: 58% BUST (historical - low floor). XGB: 14% boom, 54% bust (this week - bearish). WSH defense rank 28 vs RB (favorable - allow 19.5 fppg). RB34 ECR. Game total 46.5 (high). Good matchup but limited ceiling. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 10.0 pts (within 4-16 range).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | NE | 6.3 | - | 19.2 | +12.9 |
| 12 | DET | 9.9 | - | 4.7 | -5.2 |
| 11 | GB | 9.6 | - | 17.7 | +8.1 |
| 10 | CHI | 9.7 | - | 10.3 | +0.6 |
| 9 | SF | 5.5 | - | 7.1 | +1.6 |
| 8 | PHI | 1.2 | - | 3.8 | +2.6 |
| 7 | DEN | 0.8 | - | 0.2 | -0.6 |
| 6 | PHI | 1.0 | - | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | NO | 6.0 | - | 3.4 | -2.6 |
| 4 | LAC | 7.4 | - | 2.8 | -4.6 |
| 3 | KC | 1.1 | - | 1.1 | +0.0 |
| 2 | DAL | 3.2 | - | 1.0 | -2.2 |
| 1 | WSH | 3.5 | - | 0.9 | -2.6 |
Projections: ESPN 8.1 | LLM 8.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 57% | BOOM: 12%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 44%
Notes: MC: 57% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 14% boom, 44% bust. Rookie WR in CHI offense. CLE defense rank 8 vs WR. Limited upside. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 8.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | GB | 10.3 | 8.0 | 11.0 | +0.7 |
| 13 | PHI | 8.3 | - | 7.6 | -0.7 |
| 12 | PIT | 7.6 | - | 9.1 | +1.5 |
| 11 | MIN | 6.2 | - | 5.7 | -0.5 |
| 10 | NYG | 3.4 | - | 8.1 | +4.7 |
| 9 | CIN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | BAL | 4.8 | - | 0.9 | -3.9 |
| 7 | NO | 4.9 | - | 3.1 | -1.8 |
| 6 | WSH | 4.8 | - | 9.1 | +4.3 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | LV | 5.8 | - | 1.6 | -4.2 |
| 3 | DAL | 2.7 | - | 19.8 | +17.1 |
| 2 | DET | 2.7 | - | 1.5 | -1.2 |
| 1 | MIN | 3.2 | - | 0.7 | -2.5 |
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% | Threat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 8.9 | 9.0 | 28% | 48% | 23% | MEDIUM | |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 15.7 | 13.4 | 18% | 60% | 22% | LOW | |
| Jake Elliott | K | PHI | 8.0 | 7.9 | 17% | 29% | 54% | LOW | |
| Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 16.1 | 16.9 | 13% | 68% | 19% | LOW | |
| Saints D/ST | D/ST | NO | 5.9 | 8.2 | 11% | 28% | 61% | LOW | |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB | PIT | 12.6 | 10.1 | 10% | 40% | 51% | LOW | |
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 12.0 | 12.1 | 9% | 36% | 55% | LOW | |
| A.J. Brown | WR | PHI | 16.8 | 15.7 | 9% | 35% | 56% | LOW | |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 17.6 | 20.4 | 9% | 36% | 55% | LOW |
Dalton Schultz: MC (BUST: 43% | MODERATE: 36% | BOOM: 22%) | XGB (Boom 28% | Bust 23%)
Justin Jefferson: MC (BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 45% | BOOM: 6%) | XGB (Boom 18% | Bust 22%)
Jake Elliott: MC (BUST: 34% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 26%) | XGB (Boom 17% | Bust 54%)
Caleb Williams: MC (BUST: 39% | MODERATE: 33% | BOOM: 28%) | XGB (Boom 13% | Bust 19%)
Saints D/ST: MC (BUST: 34% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 21%) | XGB (Boom 11% | Bust 61%)
Kenneth Gainwell: MC (BUST: 39% | MODERATE: 42% | BOOM: 19%) | XGB (Boom 10% | Bust 51%)
Emeka Egbuka: MC (BUST: 46% | MODERATE: 25% | BOOM: 29%) | XGB (Boom 9% | Bust 55%)
A.J. Brown: MC (BUST: 19% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 37%) | XGB (Boom 9% | Bust 56%)
Jonathan Taylor: MC (BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 22% | BOOM: 29%) | XGB (Boom 9% | Bust 55%)
Season Phase: Playoff Positioning - Hold proven performers, ceiling matters more than this week's matchup
Click player names to view full MC histogram analysis.
Note: Protection thresholds adjust by season phase. Currently in Playoff Positioning mode. Players with high ceiling or returning from injury before playoffs are protected from drop suggestions.
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers D/ST | 0.0 | 52% | 17% | 0.0% | ||
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 12.1 | 50% | 18% | 0.0% | |
| Evan Engram | TE | 8.3 | 31% | 23% | 0.0% | |
| Chiefs D/ST | D/ST | 7.4 | 31% | 29% | 0.0% | |
| Zach Ertz | 0.0 | 28% | 24% | 0.0% | ||
| Michael Badgley | K | 8.6 | 27% | 54% | 0.0% | |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | K | 10.3 | 26% | 28% | 0.0% | |
| Commanders D/ST | 0.0 | 24% | 38% | 0.0% | ||
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | 8.0 | 22% | 28% | 0.0% | |
| Patriots D/ST | D/ST | 8.8 | 22% | 43% | 0.0% | |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 11.5 | 21% | 31% | 0.0% | |
| Quentin Johnston | 0.0 | 21% | 30% | 0.0% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 10.5 | 20% | 9% | 0.0% | |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | 14.6 | 19% | 56% | 0.0% | |
| Matthew Golden | WR | 9.0 | 18% | 48% | 0.0% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 14.6 | BUST:50%, MODERATE:28%, BOOM:22% | 19% | 56% | |
| Kyler Murray | 16.8 | BUST:17%, MODERATE:58%, BOOM:25% | 12% | 52% | |
| Justin Fields | 16.4 | BUST:40%, MODERATE:31%, BOOM:30% | 12% | 51% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 12.1 | BUST:47%, MODERATE:40%, BOOM:13% | 50% | 18% | |
| Isiah Pacheco | 8.0 | BUST:68%, MODERATE:29%, BOOM:3% | 22% | 28% | |
| Chuba Hubbard | 11.5 | BUST:25%, MODERATE:45%, BOOM:29% | 21% | 31% | |
| Trey Benson | 8.8 | BUST:33%, MODERATE:43%, BOOM:24% | 12% | 56% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 8.9 | BUST:54%, MODERATE:32%, BOOM:14% | 8% | 58% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Golden | 9.0 | BUST:41%, MODERATE:28%, BOOM:31% | 18% | 48% | |
| Cooper Kupp | 10.0 | BUST:50%, MODERATE:38%, BOOM:12% | 16% | 52% | |
| Garrett Wilson | 14.8 | BUST:38%, MODERATE:39%, BOOM:23% | 16% | 47% | |
| Rashid Shaheed | 10.1 | BUST:30%, MODERATE:38%, BOOM:32% | 11% | 58% | |
| Keenan Allen | 11.9 | BUST:67%, MODERATE:24%, BOOM:10% | 9% | 55% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram | 8.3 | BUST:69%, MODERATE:29%, BOOM:2% | 31% | 23% | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 10.5 | BUST:40%, MODERATE:44%, BOOM:16% | 20% | 9% | |
| Colston Loveland | 9.8 | BUST:42%, MODERATE:42%, BOOM:16% | 10% | 60% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Badgley | 8.6 | 27% | 54% | |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | 10.3 | 26% | 28% | |
| Evan McPherson | 9.5 | 10% | 60% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs D/ST | 7.4 | 31% | 29% | |
| Patriots D/ST | 8.8 | 22% | 43% | |
| Dolphins D/ST | 8.7 | 14% | 63% |
Win Probability
Floor: -34.8 pts | Median: +8.2 pts | Ceiling: +49.5 pts
Key: Click any row to view full histogram. ↑15+ = P(≥15pts) | ↓5- = P(<5pts)
Variance: HIGH CV>0.5 (boom/bust) | MED CV>0.3 (moderate) | LOW CV≤0.3 (consistent)
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Mariota | QB | MED | 14.7 | 5.5-26.9 | ↑15+: 57% | ↓5-: 9% | |
| Bucky Irving | RB | MED | 8.1 | 5.1-24.1 | ↑15+: 44% | ↓5-: 10% | |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | HIGH | 7.5 | 3.6-24.3 | ↑15+: 36% | ↓5-: 17% | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | MED | 18.3 | 6.2-30.5 | ↑15+: 63% | ↓5-: 5% | |
| Rashee Rice | WR | MED | 12.1 | 6.0-28.0 | ↑15+: 57% | ↓5-: 5% | |
| Jameson Williams | WR | HIGH | 26.4 | 3.8-25.0 | ↑15+: 48% | ↓5-: 16% | |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | HIGH | 7.0 | 2.9-17.0 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 22% | |
| Bears D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 18.0 | 0.4-16.3 | ↑15+: 13% | ↓5-: 39% | |
| Jason Myers | K | MED | 24.0 | 5.2-17.1 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 9% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | QB | MED | 13.9 | 6.5-27.8 | ↑15+: 54% | ↓5-: 6% | |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | HIGH | 20.6 | 4.0-27.9 | ↑15+: 64% | ↓5-: 13% | |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | HIGH | 5.6 | 2.4-18.7 | ↑15+: 18% | ↓5-: 27% | |
| Devin Singletary | RB | HIGH | 2.4 | 0.6-18.3 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 52% | |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | HIGH | 4.5 | 5.4-25.9 | ↑15+: 29% | ↓5-: 8% | |
| Hunter Henry | TE | HIGH | 2.8 | 3.5-21.9 | ↑15+: 18% | ↓5-: 25% | |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 5.0 | 1.1-18.1 | ↑15+: 18% | ↓5-: 34% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | LOW | 0.0 | 0.0-0.0 | ↑15+: 0% | ↓5-: 100% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | QB | HIGH | 17.0 | 6.1-29.9 | ↑15+: 53% | ↓5-: 6% | |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | HIGH | 20.7 | 8.6-37.9 | ↑15+: 54% | ↓5-: 0% | |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB | HIGH | 10.1 | 1.7-24.0 | ↑15+: 22% | ↓5-: 34% | |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | HIGH | 13.4 | 5.5-22.8 | ↑15+: 38% | ↓5-: 7% | |
| A.J. Brown | WR | HIGH | 15.7 | 2.8-29.0 | ↑15+: 48% | ↓5-: 16% | |
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | HIGH | 12.1 | 3.4-24.2 | ↑15+: 32% | ↓5-: 22% | |
| Dalton Schultz | TE | HIGH | 9.0 | 2.8-17.2 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 30% | |
| Saints D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 8.2 | 0.3-17.5 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 36% | |
| Jake Elliott | K | HIGH | 7.9 | 2.2-14.9 | ↑15+: 10% | ↓5-: 32% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | QB | HIGH | 14.3 | 5.2-25.1 | ↑15+: 41% | ↓5-: 9% | |
| Sean Tucker | RB | HIGH | 10.0 | 1.2-27.2 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 36% | |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | HIGH | 12.5 | 4.8-24.7 | ↑15+: 28% | ↓5-: 12% | |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | HIGH | 12.9 | 5.5-21.9 | ↑15+: 36% | ↓5-: 7% | |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | HIGH | 12.5 | 5.4-21.8 | ↑15+: 32% | ↓5-: 8% | |
| Khalil Shakir | WR | HIGH | 10.8 | 1.8-20.4 | ↑15+: 27% | ↓5-: 25% | |
| David Njoku | TE | LOW | 0.0 | 0.0-0.0 | ↑15+: 0% | ↓5-: 100% |
| Player | Position | BOOM | MODERATE | BUST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | RB | 19% @ 24.2 | 65% @ 14.2 | 17% @ 5.0 | 14.5 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 29% @ 28.6 | 41% @ 18.7 | 30% @ 7.6 | 18.2 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 43% @ 24.3 | 26% @ 16.0 | 31% @ 7.4 | 16.9 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 27% @ 22.8 | 47% @ 11.9 | 26% @ 4.8 | 13.0 |
| Jason Myers | K | 20% @ 16.9 | 47% @ 11.7 | 33% @ 6.4 | 11.0 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 32% @ 14.9 | 42% @ 9.1 | 26% @ 3.7 | 9.6 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 24% @ 24.1 | 47% @ 15.7 | 30% @ 5.3 | 14.6 |
| Bears D/ST | D/ST | 19% @ 15.3 | 47% @ 8.1 | 34% @ 2.9 | 7.7 |
| Marcus Mariota | QB | 42% @ 22.3 | 43% @ 14.6 | 15% @ 4.8 | 16.4 |
Model input: This week's predicted mode probabilities (LLM uses these to make final decisions)
| Player | Pos | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Myers | K | 8.5 | 10.0 | MODERATE | 51.6% | 32.9% | 15.5% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | 0.0 | 0.0 | BUST | 42.5% | 38.0% | 19.4% |
| Jordan Love | QB | 14.8 | 14.0 | BUST | 26.7% | 51.8% | 21.5% |
| Bears D/ST | D/ST | 6.6 | 10.0 | MODERATE | 26.4% | 44.4% | 29.2% |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 17.2 | 16.0 | MODERATE | 24.8% | 43.2% | 32.0% |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 13.2 | 13.0 | MODERATE | 20.8% | 56.9% | 22.3% |
| Marcus Mariota | QB | 18.1 | 21.0 | MODERATE | 17.6% | 31.7% | 50.7% |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 9.7 | 11.0 | MODERATE | 15.0% | 24.9% | 60.1% |
| Luther Burden III | WR | 8.1 | 8.0 | MODERATE | 14.4% | 41.9% | 43.7% |
| Devin Singletary | RB | 10.8 | 10.0 | MODERATE | 14.1% | 32.3% | 53.5% |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | 10.1 | 7.0 | MODERATE | 13.4% | 44.0% | 42.6% |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | 4.2 | 5.0 | BUST | 13.3% | 28.2% | 58.6% |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 13.9 | 13.0 | MODERATE | 13.1% | 48.3% | 38.6% |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 13.9 | 17.0 | MODERATE | 12.2% | 40.8% | 47.1% |
| Bucky Irving | RB | 15.2 | 16.0 | MODERATE | 10.9% | 40.7% | 48.5% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 20.6 | 25.0 | BOOM | 10.9% | 65.8% | 23.4% |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 11.7 | 10.0 | MODERATE | 10.4% | 38.2% | 51.4% |
| Hunter Henry | TE | 10.3 | 6.0 | BUST | 8.5% | 30.9% | 60.6% |
Week 15 standings with live scores included. ESPN updates official totals on Tuesday.
| Rank | Team | Record | PF (Total) | PA (Total) | +/- | This Week | Streak | Playoff % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 10-4 | 1838.0 | 1668.7 | +169.3 | 93.1 vs 120.6 | W3 | 100.0% |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 9-5 | 1756.6 | 1765.4 | -8.8 | 122.8 vs 120.0 | W1 | 100.0% |
| 3 | Valued Customers ← | 8-6 | 1822.8 | 1539.0 | +283.8 | 136.1 vs 93.4 | W4 | 78.6% |
| 4 | Wookie of the Year | 8-6 | 1705.9 | 1731.9 | -26.0 | 104.6 vs 115.1 | W2 | 57.9% |
| 5 | Meat Pistols | 8-6 | 1513.0 | 1664.9 | -151.9 | 83.4 vs 193.0 | L1 | 20.9% |
| 6 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 7-7 | 1759.9 | 1725.0 | +35.0 | 115.1 vs 104.6 | L2 | 29.1% |
| 7 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 7-7 | 1730.5 | 1660.2 | +70.4 | 120.0 vs 122.8 | L1 | 13.5% |
| 8 | Moms rules | 6-8 | 1657.1 | 1755.2 | -98.1 | 120.6 vs 93.1 | L2 | 0.0% |
| 9 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 6-8 | 1584.0 | 1680.6 | -96.6 | 105.5 vs 149.4 | L4 | 0.0% |
| 10 | Smooth Roosters | 6-8 | 1664.4 | 1644.9 | +19.5 | 193.0 vs 83.4 | W2 | 0.0% |
| 11 | The Warsaw Pact | 5-9 | 1644.5 | 1752.0 | -107.5 | 149.4 vs 105.5 | W1 | 0.0% |
| 12 | Auto DraftKings | 4-10 | 1678.3 | 1767.4 | -89.1 | 93.4 vs 136.1 | L3 | 0.0% |
| Away Team | Score | Score | Home Team | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitty's Piggy Skins | 93.1 | @ | 120.6 | Moms rules |
| 4th and pinches | 122.8 | @ | 120.0 | Torta Pounders Football Club |
| Valued Customers | 136.1 | @ | 93.4 | Auto DraftKings |
| Wookie of the Year | 104.6 | @ | 115.1 | Ryan's Rowdy Team |
| Meat Pistols | 83.4 | @ | 193.0 | Smooth Roosters |
| Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 105.5 | @ | 149.4 | The Warsaw Pact |
Weekly and cumulative points scored by each team throughout the 2025 season. Your team (Valued Customers) is highlighted in green.
Multi-agent analysis for strategic decisions (Week 15)
Positive Buzz: - JSN ranked WR1 for Week 15 by multiple experts (580+ upvotes on start/sit thread) - Marcus Mariota + Terry McLaurin combo praised for Week 15 vs NYG (198 upvotes) - Bears D/ST getting love vs struggling Cleveland offense - Bucky Irving ranked top-10 RB across Vegas-based rankings
Concerns: - Jordan Love facing extreme cold (9°F, -25 wind chill) + Denver D ranks 5th vs QB - Rashee Rice tough matchup vs LAC (rank 2 vs WR) - Hunter Henry brutal spot vs BUF (rank 2 vs TE, allow only 3.6 fppg)
HIGH SCORING ENVIRONMENTS (Good for fantasy): - DET @ LAR: 53.5 total (Jameson Williams benefits) - BUF @ NE: 49.5 total (Hunter Henry in high-volume game) - NYG @ WSH: 46.5 total (Mariota + Singletary upside)
MODERATE GAMES: - ATL @ TB: 44.5 (Bucky Irving solid floor) - SF @ TEN: 44.5 (Tyjae Spears limited role) - IND @ SEA: 42.5 with SEA -13.5 (JSN positive game script)
LOW SCORING / WEATHER CONCERNS: - DEN @ GB: 42.5 but 9°F weather (Jordan Love risk) - CAR @ NO: 40.5 (McMillan + Juwan Johnson floor games) - CHI @ CLE: ~38.0 (Bears D/ST smash spot)
SMASH SPOTS: 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs IND - #1 WR ECR, IND 26th vs WR, SEA -13.5 favorite 2. Marcus Mariota vs NYG - NYG 31st vs QB (allow 23.6 fppg), 46.5 game total 3. Bears D/ST vs CLE - CLE 29th vs DST, extreme cold, struggling offense 4. Bucky Irving @ ATL - ATL 20th vs RB, positive game script as TB -4.5 favorite
CONCERNING SPOTS: 1. Rashee Rice @ LAC - LAC 2nd vs WR (allow 13.5 fppg), tough shadow coverage 2. Hunter Henry vs BUF - BUF 2nd vs TE (allow only 3.6 fppg) 3. Jordan Love vs DEN - DEN 5th vs QB, extreme cold weather 4. Tyjae Spears vs SF - SF 12th vs RB, heavy underdog game script
LOCKED-IN STARTERS: - Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR1 ECR, elite matchup) - Marcus Mariota (smash spot vs NYG) - Bucky Irving (RB9, favorable game script) - Bears D/ST (smash spot vs CLE)
SOLID STARTERS: - Rashee Rice (talent overcomes tough matchup) - Jameson Williams (DET/LAR shootout) - Jason Myers (K2 ranking, good offense)
ACCEPTABLE/BORDERLINE: - Tetairoa McMillan (low game total, but targets) - Juwan Johnson (Kamara OUT helps) - Devin Singletary (good matchup, low ceiling) - Omarion Hampton (uncertain role vs KC)
BENCH/AVOID: - Jordan Love (extreme cold + tough defense) - Hunter Henry (brutal TE matchup) - Tyjae Spears (SF defense + game script) - Marvin Harrison Jr. (OUT) - Jacoby Brissett (HOU 2nd vs QB)
No late scratches affecting our lineup. Locked and loaded for Week 15.
Positive Buzz: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Marcus Mariota, Bucky Irving, Bears D/ST
Negative Buzz: Hunter Henry, Jordan Love (cold), Rashee Rice (matchup)
Mixed Buzz: Tetairoa McMillan, Tyjae Spears
No waiver recommendations this week.
No major injury concerns.
Live data from completed games
| Category | Pos | Player | ESPN | LLM | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Team | K | Jason Myers | 8.5 | 10.0 | 24.0 | +14.0 |
| Opponent | TE | Dalton Schultz | 8.9 | - | 21.6 | +12.7 |
| Opponent | RB | Kenneth Gainwell | 12.6 | - | 0.0 | -12.6 |
| Free Agent | TE | Harold Fannin Jr. | 0.0 | - | 12.0 | +12.0 |
| Opponent | WR | Justin Jefferson | 15.7 | - | 4.2 | -11.5 |
| Our Team | WR | Jameson Williams | 13.9 | 17.0 | 26.4 | +9.4 |
| Our Team | WR | Tetairoa McMillan | 13.2 | 13.0 | 4.5 | -8.5 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Bears D/ST | 6.6 | 10.0 | 18.0 | +8.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Bucky Irving | 15.2 | 16.0 | 8.1 | -7.9 |
| Our Team | RB | Devin Singletary | 10.8 | 10.0 | 2.4 | -7.6 |
| Our Team | QB | Jacoby Brissett | 13.9 | 13.0 | 20.6 | +7.6 |
| Our Team | WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 20.6 | 25.0 | 18.3 | -6.7 |
| Our Team | WR | Luther Burden III | 8.1 | 8.0 | 14.4 | +6.4 |
| Our Team | QB | Marcus Mariota | 18.1 | 21.0 | 14.7 | -6.3 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Rams D/ST | 4.2 | 5.0 | -1.0 | -6.0 |
| Free Agent | RB | Chuba Hubbard | 0.0 | - | 4.8 | +4.8 |
| Opponent | WR | A.J. Brown | 16.8 | - | 12.1 | -4.7 |
| Opponent | RB | Jonathan Taylor | 17.6 | - | 13.1 | -4.5 |
| Our Team | TE | Juwan Johnson | 9.7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Rashee Rice | 17.2 | 16.0 | 12.1 | -3.9 |
| Our Team | TE | Hunter Henry | 10.3 | 6.0 | 2.8 | -3.2 |
| Opponent | QB | Caleb Williams | 16.1 | - | 19.0 | +2.9 |
| Our Team | RB | Omarion Hampton | 11.7 | 10.0 | 7.5 | -2.5 |
| Opponent | WR | Emeka Egbuka | 12.0 | - | 10.4 | -1.6 |
| Our Team | RB | Tyjae Spears | 10.1 | 7.0 | 5.6 | -1.4 |
| Opponent | K | Jake Elliott | 8.0 | - | 7.0 | -1.0 |
| Opponent | D/ST | Saints D/ST | 5.9 | - | 6.0 | +0.1 |
| Our Team | QB | Jordan Love | 14.8 | 14.0 | 13.9 | -0.1 |
| Our Team | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Free Agent | D/ST | Steelers D/ST | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Final review from run_013 (2025-12-08)
| Category | Pos | Player | ESPN | LLM | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Agent | QB | Sam Darnold | 0.0 | - | 22.3 | +22.3 |
| Free Agent | RB | Devin Neal | 0.0 | - | 15.4 | +15.4 |
| Opponent | K | Brandon Aubrey | 8.9 | 8.9 | 24.0 | +15.1 |
| Opponent | QB | Patrick Mahomes | 17.9 | 20.1 | 6.3 | -13.8 |
| Opponent | WR | DJ Moore | 9.1 | 11.9 | 0.6 | -11.3 |
| Our Team | WR | Rashee Rice | 17.1 | 17.0 | 7.4 | -9.6 |
| Opponent | D/ST | Vikings D/ST | 5.2 | 6.3 | 15.0 | +8.7 |
| Opponent | RB | Nick Chubb | 5.3 | 7.5 | 0.3 | -7.2 |
| Our Team | RB | Omarion Hampton | 12.1 | 8.0 | 14.7 | +6.7 |
| Our Team | WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 20.9 | 22.0 | 28.1 | +6.1 |
| Opponent | WR | Keon Coleman | 6.7 | 9.2 | 3.6 | -5.6 |
| Opponent | TE | Dalton Kincaid | 10.0 | 9.6 | 14.1 | +4.5 |
| Opponent | WR | Malik Washington | 8.4 | 8.2 | 4.0 | -4.2 |
| Our Team | K | Jason Myers | 8.3 | 10.0 | 14.0 | +4.0 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Rams D/ST | 6.8 | 9.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Luther Burden III | 10.3 | 8.0 | 11.0 | +3.0 |
| Free Agent | D/ST | Commanders D/ST | 0.0 | - | 3.0 | +3.0 |
| Our Team | TE | Juwan Johnson | 9.7 | 10.0 | 7.8 | -2.2 |
| Our Team | RB | Tyjae Spears | 8.6 | 8.0 | 6.7 | -1.3 |
| Our Team | QB | Jordan Love | 17.6 | 18.0 | 19.3 | +1.3 |
| Our Team | RB | Bucky Irving | 16.4 | 16.0 | 16.1 | +0.1 |
| Opponent | RB | Ollie Gordon II | 3.2 | 7.8 | 7.7 | -0.1 |
| Our Team | QB | Jacoby Brissett | 15.3 | 19.0 | 19.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Jameson Williams | 13.8 | 17.3 | 17.3 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | TE | Hunter Henry | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Devin Singletary | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Opponent | RB | Ray Davis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
This tab logs discrepancies detected during the weekly analysis process.
No discrepancies detected this week.